STARTERS: Early buy-low targets, May 2017

Surface stats like ERA can be misleading, especially at this time of the year. They can mask strong underlying skills that are likely to result in ERA improvement in the future.

The following SP have the largest gap between their actual ERA and their skills-driven expected ERA (xERA):

• xERA vs. ERA
  
  Name                   League  BPV  ERA   xERA  Diff
  =====================  ======  ===  ====  ====  =====
  Tomlin, Josh               AL  131  6.86  3.64  -3.22
  Pruitt, Austin             AL  107  7.52  4.33  -3.19
  Bauer, Trevor              AL  108  6.92  3.82  -3.10
  Wright, Steven             AL   56  8.25  5.25  -3.00
  Anderson, Brett            NL   13  8.18  5.20  -2.98
  Gsellman, Robert           NL   65  7.12  4.48  -2.64
  Covey, Dylan...

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